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Noah.Dreams
11-30-2005, 08:59 AM
Sorry, Tigers: BCS prefers Fighting Irish - Wednesday, November 30, 2005

by Steve Kirk - BHM News

Everyone knows the Bowl Championship Series isn't all it's cracked up to be. No one knows it better than the 2004 Auburn football team.

But the cracks in the system aren't all at the top. The 2005 Auburn team is about to fall through another one.

Come Sunday, Auburn isn't going to receive a BCS at-large bid.

Notre Dame is.

It doesn't matter that Auburn is a better team than Notre Dame. Or that Auburn may be the best team in the BCS at-large pool.

It doesn't matter that Auburn AD Jay Jacobs has gotten in the ear of Fiesta Bowl officials. Or that SEC Commissioner Mike Slive also has talked to them on Auburn's behalf more than once.

This being the BCS, logic and lobbying are beside the point. So are quality wins and bad losses and strength of schedule.

This being the BCS, TV gets what TV wants. And TV worships Touchdown Jesus.

If everything goes according to plan on Championship Saturday, if USC and Texas make the final arrangements for their dream date, Selection Sunday should go something like this:

The Fiesta Bowl, with the first pick because it loses Big 12 champ Texas to the Rose Bowl, takes Notre Dame. The Orange Bowl, with the second pick, takes Big Ten champ Penn State and AARP man of the year Joe Paterno to meet ACC champ Virginia Tech.

The Fiesta Bowl, with the third pick, takes Ohio State or Oregon as the designated reality check for Notre Dame.

The Irish are better, but they're not back. Not to myth and legend status. What's the difference? Ask Alabama.

Oregon sent its head football coach and AD to Arizona last week to lobby the Fiesta folks. It would mean more if Phil Knight, Oregon booster and Nike grand poobah, promised to buy up all the TV spots at full price.

The only thing that's all but certain is the Fiesta Bowl won't invite Auburn to the desert for the first time. If it does, it'll surprise a lot of higher-ups in the Auburn family.

This isn't the same as last year's BCS snub, but it's still a shame. Compare Auburn's 9-2 to Notre Dame's 9-2, and there's no comparison. Notre Dame has beaten three teams with winning records, Auburn four, if you count I-AA Western Kentucky.

Notre Dame's biggest win came against 7-4 Michigan in September. Auburn took down 9-2 Georgia and 9-2 Alabama within eight days in November. No team in the BCS at-large pool can match Auburn for quality wins.

The Tigers lost to 10-1 LSU and 7-4 Georgia Tech. The Irish lost to 11-0 USC and 5-6 Michigan State. Can you say bad loss?

BCS officials like to wash their hands of situations like this one. They say the system was set up for only one reason, to match the No. 1 and No. 2 teams in a championship game.

OK. So why are there three other BCS bowls every year?

Auburn will have to settle for its third trip to Orlando in six years. As consolation prizes go, there are worse things than a return visit to Disney World.

Ever spent New Year's in Dallas?

razorhead
11-30-2005, 09:11 AM
Congratulations. I love the old Spurrier comment "You can't spell Citrus without U and T". That doesn't hold true this year!

Bayou Bengal
11-30-2005, 09:29 AM
Congratulations. I love the old Spurrier comment "You can't spell Citrus without U and T". That doesn't hold true this year!

I don't know maybe you can say "You can't spell Citrus without "a U"!

Too much of a stretch?

GAMECOCK_FAN
11-30-2005, 09:33 AM
I don't know maybe you can say "You can't spell Citrus without "a U"!

Too much of a stretch?
You may need to worry about someone making the statement: "You can't spell Sugar without UGA!" :D

WDavE
11-30-2005, 09:56 AM
Here is part of an article from SI.

Who deserves their day in the desert? How do you decide that? What statistics do you employ? I find that fans usually only cite the statistics that favor their team. For example, Hurricanes fans may note that their team beat as many Top 25 teams as any of the six on my list (two -- Clemson, and Virginia Tech) but conveniently fail to mention that they also had Temple and Duke on the schedule.

Not that this really needs to figure into Junker's decision, but here are a few statistics. If you add each team's national ranking in scoring defense and its ranking in scoring offense, that's a fair indicator of a team's overall strength (although, as USC demonstrates each week, you need not be great on both sides of the ball to be championship-caliber). Using the SD+SO sum as an index, with the lower number being better, here's how these half dozen would rank:

1. (Tie) Penn State 10+12 = 22

1. (Tie) Auburn 6+16 = 22

3. Ohio State 7+27 = 34

4. Miami 3+43 = 46

5. Notre Dame 46+7 = 53

6. Oregon 48+9 = 57

How about the losses? Oregon, for example, only lost one game. However, the Ducks lost by more points (32, albeit to No. 1 USC) than any of the other five schools. The four two-loss schools all lost by fewer combined points than the Ducks' 32 to the Trojans. So you have it:

Penn State -- one loss, 2 points

Notre Dame -- two losses (one in OT), 6 points

Miami -- two losses, 7 points

Ohio State -- two losses, 10 points

Auburn -- two losses (one in OT), 12 points

Quality wins? The Nittany Lions, Tigers, Buckeyes and Hurricanes each beat a pair of Top 25 teams. Notre Dame only beat one (Michigan) while Oregon's only Top 25 conquest was Fresno State. The most impressive of all those wins was likely the Hurricanes' 27-7 silencing of Virginia Tech in Blacksburg, but was that even as impressive as Notre Dame's performance against USC in October? Who's to say

Jay Bee
11-30-2005, 10:28 AM
Cool. Orlando is always nice...
By the way, my paper says the article is by Kevin "the Scab" Scarbinsky..

WDE!
jj

SilverBritches
11-30-2005, 05:28 PM
Nobody ever really thought that Auburn had any chance at a BCS bid. Ohio State or Oregon will get the other BCS at large bid.