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Math-U Computer Ranking Week 12

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#1
Matt

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NCAA Top 10
  • Notre Dame......1483.96
  • Alabama...........1448.15
  • Florida..............1429.51
  • Ohio State........1421.87
  • Oregon.............1407.82
  • Stanford............1391.04
  • Kansas State....1386.07
  • Florida State.....1380.97
  • Georgia.............1378.11
  • Nebraska...........1373.04
If Notre Dame loses , next week Coach Muschamp is going to look like a genius in ducking Alabama in the SECCG to instead play them in the BCSNCG.  I had always assumed he was the Sonny of the Saban coaching tree (Dooley obviously is Fredo) but maybe he is Michael.  

Remaining SEC Teams
11. LSU.....................1371.47
15. Texas A&M..........1362.14
17. South Carolina....1354.22
34. Mississippi St.......1284.21
43. Vanderbilt............1253.88
62. Missouri...............1195.49
65. Mississippi...........1177.83
73. Tennessee..........1149.05
78. Arkansas.............1131.01
96. Auburn................1082.01
105. Kentucky...........1043.65


Projections for week 13. (3-1 LW)
(home advantage = 2.5 points)
LSU 25
Arkansas 9

Vanderbilt 19
Wake Forest 12

Georgia Tech 11
Georgia 34

Kentucky 12
Tennessee 25

Florida 20
FSU 18

Auburn 3
Alabama 32

Mississippi State 22
Ole Miss 14

South Carolina 19
Clemson 23

Missouri 10
Texas A&M 29

Click here to view the article

Edited by Matt, 19 November 2012 - 10:50 AM.


#2
Haymaker

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Vanderbilt 34
Wake Forest 17

Georgia Tech 17
Georgia 34

Kentucky 12
Tennessee 25

Florida 20
FSU 18

Auburn 3
Alabama 32

Mississippi State 20
Ole Miss 21

South Carolina 21
Clemson 33

Missouri 10
Texas A&M 39

#3
Hothotz

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Georgia is going to flirt with fifty points against Tech.

#4
Matt

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Hothotz, on 19 November 2012 - 10:08 AM, said:

Georgia is going to flirt with fifty points against Tech.

Probably.  The formula decides a % of the total points in the game each team will score.  Then it determines the average amount of total points scored in both team's games and takes the average.  Then applies the % to the average total.

So GT games have average a total of about 45 and UGA around 39.  Which averages to 41.5 points.  The formula predicts that UGA should score 74% of those points and I have been awarding 2.5 points for home field so UGA gets 41.5*.74+2.5 = 33.6.

Thats all there really is to the projection system.  I'm not a 100% pleased with it.  My NFL one does better but the teams are more even so the total points assumptions works better I think.






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