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SEC Gambling Lines - Week 7




Hey look, it's week SEVEN and the Southeastern Conference has TWO unbeaten teams! And one of them is... Missouri??? As each week passes, the contestants for the conference championship in Atlanta and the bowl pecking order gets clearer and clearer...

AndohbythewayIwas3and8lastweekwhichgivesmeanoverallrecordof32wins39lossesand3ties. See what I did there? That, boys and girls, is what is known as a "transition"! It could also be called burying the ugly truth in an extreme run on sentence. With all the words stuck together.

OK - I'll face the ugly truth, 3 - 8 last week. 32-39-3 on the year. But I AM way up in the rankings in the "pick 'ems", so I've got that going for me... For what it's worth, I hit a snag last year and ended pretty strong, so we'll see.

Favorites listed first; home team in CAPS; dcbl's pick bolded; gambling line next and last is the over/under

Games in God's Conference:

Texas A&m MISSISSIPPI 6 76

MISSISSIPPI ST Bowling Green 10 52

GEORGIA Missouri 7½ 64

LSU Florida    6½ 48½

South Carolina    ARKANSAS 5 51

Alabama KENTUCKY 27 51½


National Games of Interest:
  
Stanford UTAH 8 55
  
Baylor    KANSAS STATE 17½ 74
  
Oregon WASHINGTON U 13½ 76
  
Michigan PENN STATE 2½ 50½


We start off this week with an upset alert! Mississippi had the Texas Aggies on the ropes last year. They had that game won. And they let it slip away. Texas A&M fields a very good and very strong football team, but they are suspect on the defensive side of the ball. Most folks are down on Hugh Freeze's squad after a shutout loss to Bama and a gut wrenching loss to Auburn over the last 2 weeks. But they have had this game circled on the calendar for a year. And it's at home. Rebels cover and MIGHT pull the upset.

I still don't know what to make of the Mississippi State Bulldogs, but I do know that Dan Mullen's back is against the wall. This is a must win game if State is to have any hope of a bowl game. Fortunately, they generally tend to rise up and beat down inferior teams. I fully expect the Bullies to run the Falcons out of the stadium.

Don't look now, but Mizzou is still undefeated and many think a legitimate contender for the SEC East! Truth is, the Tigers have a very good football team. They have a good coach and they have 22 guys that can play with anybody in the country. Their problem? They just are not deep enough to go toe to toe with the big boys in the conference, not yet anyway... Yes, Georgia has a lot of key guys down. Yes, Georgia makes it a habit to let inferior teams make a game of it. And UGA does have issues on defense. But the Dawgs have the better team, they are deeper all the way across the board and they have shown a mental toughness that Mizzou has not seen this year. Look for a close game for 3 1/2 quarters and then for the Dawgs to put it away late.

Saturday's game between UF and LSU is very interesting. The Bayou Bengals are still a by God national championship contender. Guess what? So is Florida, at least for the moment. Neither team can afford another loss if they want to keep their BCS hopes alive, another loss by LSU probably kills any chance of repping the West in Atlanta. Tigers win, but as they face the best defense they might see all year, look for the Gators to keep it close and MAYBE even pull off an upset.

If the Razorbacks have had anybody's number in this conference, it is the South Carolina Gamecocks. Carolina was supposed to be in the national discussion this year. OK, they lost to Georgia and that was a big deal - I get it. But why mail it in? I hate to say it, but they sure have looked like a team just going through the motions the last few weeks. And they are better than that. A lot better. I have been looking for it for a few weeks now, but I do think that THIS is the week Spurrier's boys finally wake up. Gamecocks cover the 5.

Is it just me, or has Kentucky looked more inspired than they have in years past? Sure, I still think they are the weakest team in the conference at the moment, but wow - those guys play with a lot of heart! Alabama is the best team in the country, at least until SOMEBODY proves otherwise. That somebody will not be the Wildcats this weekend, but this group of Wildcats will leave it all on the field and cover that 4 touchdown spread!

BONUS PICK!! Did I mention that Georgia and Mizzou both have VERY EXPLOSIVE offenses? And that the Dawgs are suspect on D?? Go ahead, take out a 2nd mortgage, pawn the wife's wedding ring - do whatever you have to do. But bet as much as you can get your hands on the OVER 64 points.

The Utes have been a little better this year than expected, but they are not good enough to keep it close against an explosive Cardinal squad.

OK, OK, I am sold. I am buying CALL OPTIONS on the Baylor Bears and fully expect them to mud stomp the Wildcats on Saturday.

the Huskies field a pretty good football team. They are proud too. Sure, Oregon MAY get a chance to prove that they are the best team in the country this year, but look for Washington to keep it closer than 2 touchdowns.

Michigan is a team that you just can't tell. Super strong one week, looking like they are a bunch of little girls the next. But they should be able to beat down a depleted Nittany Lion squad, even on the road. Wolverines win big.


6 Comments

You made a huge mistake. You have picked Mizzou every game this season and Mizzou has covered every time. Going against that will come back to bite you.
I got MSU and opposites on everything else, but i haven't seen most of these teams play.

View PostSECorBust, on 11 October 2013 - 08:41 PM, said:

I got MSU and opposites on everything else, but i haven't seen most of these teams play.

well, my picks have been suck so far this year...
LSU -7 and A&M -6.5 are the plays


sorry @dcbl B)
if MO can win next week, they could run the table

and i am so glad I don't wager $$ anymore

I used to think I was good at this ATS shit - i am just sucking this year...

go Tigers, beat the Gators...
I went 4-4, but that was good enough to put me back atop my pool this week.  If I can hang in and win I'll be so happy!!!  No one in our group took Bowling Green or Ole Miss.