SEC Football Articles

Math-U Computer Rankings Week 10

By Matt Chandler. Submitted by Matt, 04 November 2012 - 01:04 PM

Math-U NCAA thru 11-3

(0) Notre Dame............1352.45
(0) Alabama.................1346.04
(0) Florida....................1326.86
(+1) Kansas State.......1310.76
(+1) Oregon.................1305.88
(-2) Ohio State.............1303.59
(0) Oregon State..........1294.10
(+5) Texas A&M...........1285.88
(-1) Georgia..................1285.01
(+1) Florida State.........1282.09

Four teams remain in the top 10 of Math-U NCAA from the SEC with Texas A&M taking the spot vacated by LSU.

Texas A&M jumps into the top ten with their impressive win over Mississippi State.  A&M finds themselves one spot ahead of Georgia despite one more loss on the strength of a 70 point advantage in scoring margin over the Bulldogs.  A closer look at the teams reveals they both have ran the score up on some weaker teams and that the real difference shows up in the losses.  A&M's both were by a combined 8 where UGA's one loss was by 28.  This coupled with two close wins against average to bad teams by UGA gives A&M a slight edge in the poll.

Remaining SEC Teams
   13.   (-4) LSU.......................1279.96
   14.   (+1) South Carolina.....1278.40
   18.   (-6) Mississippi State...1256.60
   44.   (+1) Missouri...............1219.56
   51.   (+5) Tennessee..........1210.33
   52.   (-4) Ole Miss...............1209.65
   57.   (+2) Vanderbilt............1200.29
   66.   (+11) Arkansas............1182.88
   90.   (+6) Auburn.................1138.85
   96.   (-3) Kentucky...............1129.44

Nothing is really surprising for the teams outside of the top 10.  Some may wonder at Missouri and Tennessee both moving up but this has more to do with these teams essentially holding still and teams above them losing.
Don't look now but Arkansas is quietly moving back towards mediocre after starting the season as terrible.

This weeks projections (home advantage +2.5 points)  (LW 6-2)
Louisiana 11, Florida 26
Arkansas 13, South Carolina 24
Missouri 18, Tennessee 20
Texas A&M 18, Alabama 27
Georgia 24, Auburn 13
Miss St 15, LSU 19
Vanderbilt 16, Ole Miss 20

14 Comments

Large Marge
Nov 04 2012 01:15 PM

What qualifies ND over Bama? A win over a shitty Pitt squad in 3OT?

HobnailedBoots
Nov 04 2012 01:18 PM

LOL

mmike032
Nov 04 2012 02:10 PM

whats the story/ formula behind this?
is this supposed to be like Sagarin's rankings in NCAAB

Mizzou_Fan
Nov 04 2012 03:23 PM

That's it your rankings are officially screwed up if ND is ahead of Bama when ND barely beat Pitt in 3OT.

MizzouMark
Nov 04 2012 04:13 PM

People are reading way too much into how a computer scales wins and losses it doesn't care if ND was almost beat by pitt, it looks at points for, points against, avg opponent strength, overall schedule strength and gives you the who's who. It doesn't care about Alabama playing an SEC schedule or any of the other intangibles.

Edit: I for one like seeing these rankings, it's a unique look at something that doesn't factor in public opinion.

mmike032
Nov 04 2012 04:26 PM

MizzouMark, on 04 November 2012 - 04:13 PM, said:

People are reading way too much into how a computer scales wins and losses it doesn't care if ND was almost beat by pitt, it looks at points for, points against, avg opponent strength, overall schedule strength and gives you the who's who. It doesn't care about Alabama playing an SEC schedule or any of the other intangibles.

Edit: I for one like seeing these rankings, it's a unique look at something that doesn't factor in public opinion.

doesnt that fit into SOS category?

HobnailedBoots
Nov 04 2012 06:20 PM

MizzouMark, on 04 November 2012 - 04:13 PM, said:

People are reading way too much into how a computer scales wins and losses it doesn't care if ND was almost beat by pitt,

Apparently it does....

Quote

Texas A&M jumps into the top ten with their impressive win over Mississippi State. A&M finds themselves one spot ahead of Georgia despite one more loss on the strength of a 70 point advantage in scoring margin over the Bulldogs. A closer look at the teams reveals they both have ran the score up on some weaker teams and that the real difference shows up in the losses. A&M's both were by a combined 8 where UGA's one loss was by 28. This coupled with two close wins against average to bad teams by UGA gives A&M a slight edge in the poll.

Texas A&M ranked ahead of Georgia? Lol..... get out of here. I don't know what the formula is, but it's screwed up if it spit THAT out.