SEC Football Articles
Latest Topics
Stay Connected
NCAA Top 10
- Notre Dame......1483.96
- Alabama...........1448.15
- Florida..............1429.51
- Ohio State........1421.87
- Oregon.............1407.82
- Stanford............1391.04
- Kansas State....1386.07
- Florida State.....1380.97
- Georgia.............1378.11
- Nebraska...........1373.04
Remaining SEC Teams
11. LSU.....................1371.47
15. Texas A&M..........1362.14
17. South Carolina....1354.22
34. Mississippi St.......1284.21
43. Vanderbilt............1253.88
62. Missouri...............1195.49
65. Mississippi...........1177.83
73. Tennessee..........1149.05
78. Arkansas.............1131.01
96. Auburn................1082.01
105. Kentucky...........1043.65
Projections for week 13. (3-1 LW)
(home advantage = 2.5 points)
LSU 25
Arkansas 9
Vanderbilt 19
Wake Forest 12
Georgia Tech 11
Georgia 34
Kentucky 12
Tennessee 25
Florida 20
FSU 18
Auburn 3
Alabama 32
Mississippi State 22
Ole Miss 14
South Carolina 19
Clemson 23
Missouri 10
Texas A&M 29



3 Comments
Haymaker
Nov 18 2012 03:54 PM
Wake Forest 17
Georgia Tech 17
Georgia 34
Kentucky 12
Tennessee 25
Florida 20
FSU 18
Auburn 3
Alabama 32
Mississippi State 20
Ole Miss 21
South Carolina 21
Clemson 33
Missouri 10
Texas A&M 39
Hothotz
Nov 19 2012 10:08 AM
Matt
Nov 19 2012 10:44 AM
Hothotz, on 19 November 2012 - 10:08 AM, said:
Probably. The formula decides a % of the total points in the game each team will score. Then it determines the average amount of total points scored in both team's games and takes the average. Then applies the % to the average total.
So GT games have average a total of about 45 and UGA around 39. Which averages to 41.5 points. The formula predicts that UGA should score 74% of those points and I have been awarding 2.5 points for home field so UGA gets 41.5*.74+2.5 = 33.6.
Thats all there really is to the projection system. I'm not a 100% pleased with it. My NFL one does better but the teams are more even so the total points assumptions works better I think.